ODI World Cup.

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K
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Post by K »

Shami bowls Iqbal.

Bangladesh 1/39 (9.3). Shakib in.

Previously, at 0/28 (7), cricinfo's forecast was Bangladesh 36%.
It now drops from 37% to 31%.

Odds: Bangladesh 12%, India 88%.

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Dhoni is off the field, so Pant is keeping. I guess that's one advantage of fielding three or four keepers.

And there's an appeal for LBW in the 12th over, bowled by Shami. Not out. Kohli reviews. Inside edge. India lose the review, and Kohli is furious. Does he not care if he is fined? The projection would have been umpire's call, but the inside edge loses the review. Commentators all round have little sympathy for Kohli, thinking it was a sketchy review.

The pitch may be deteriorating.
Last edited by K on Wed Jul 03, 2019 5:51 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Post by K »

Pandya gets Soumya Sarkar with a rubbish ball.
Soumya stands there "dumbstruck" (says Harsha).

Bangladesh 2/74 (15.1). Mushfiqur comes in.

It all rests with Shakib now.

cricinfo's forecast drops from Bangladesh 37% to 29%.

Odds: Bangladesh 12%, India 88%.
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Post by K »

Mushfiqur out.

Bangladesh 3/121 (23). Liton Das in.

deja vu!

cricinfo's forecast drops from Bangladesh 38% to 28%.

Odds: Bangladesh 12%, India 88%.
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3/127 (25). At the same stage India were 0/162.
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Post by K »

Liton Das goes, two balls after hitting a 6.

Bangladesh 4/162 (29.4).

The broadcast predictor before that wicket said India 83%, Bangladesh 17%.

Shakib is well set but beginning to run out of partners.

cricinfo's forecast drops from Bangladesh 33% to 25%.

Odds: Bangladesh 12%, India 88%.
Last edited by K on Wed Jul 03, 2019 2:19 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Post by K »

Bumrah bowls Mosaddek Hossain.

Bangladesh 5/173 (32.2).

cricinfo forecasts Bangladesh <20%.

Odds: Bangladesh 7%, India 93%.
................................................

And next over, the key wicket of Shakib Al Hasan. 66 (74).

6/179 (33.5).
Pandya has 3 wickets. It looks like the ball is stopping in the pitch.

Bangladesh's SF hopes are over now.

Odds: Bangladesh 1%, India 99%.
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Post by K »

Shami is smashed for four 4s in the 38th over. 17 runs off the over. Shades of his late bowling against England. He bowled rubbish then.

Let's see... The 49th over of England's innings: 15 runs and a wicket. The 47th over: 17 runs and a wicket. The 45th over: 12 runs and a wicket.

The comparison in the late overs between Bumrah and the others is startling. India look like they have 5th-bowler or death-over problems, just like many of the countries in this WC.

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This is a good little passage for Bangladesh. Seven 4s in the last 13 balls. They're not going to do a Dhoni-like go slow. They'll go down fighting.

--------------------------------------------

6/229 (41). cricinfo's forecast is 16-18% for Bangladesh.

Odds: Bangladesh 11%, India 89%.

Shami comes back to bowl the 42nd over and is pounded for another 11 runs. :shock: He obviously has no clue about death bowling. This is like watching NCN and K. Richardson bowl those overs.

Bumrah has some sort of shoulder injury, but they can't rest him now. He'll have to bowl his last three overs, because only he can restore order.
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Post by K »

And Bumrah does that. He bowls Sabbir Rahman with his first ball.

Bangladesh 7/245 (43.1).

Odds: Bangladesh 3%, India 97%.
................................................

Next over, Mortaza goes 6 and out. He hits the first ball for 6 and is caught behind the next ball.

8/257 (44.2).

Odds: Bangladesh 3%, India 97%.
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Post by K »

Bumrah bowls Rubel Hossain with the yorker.

Bangladesh 9/286 (47.5).
Bumrah has 3 wickets.

...................................

Next ball, repeat! Bumrah bowls Mustafizur.

Bangladesh all out 286 (48 ). India win by 28 runs.

Bumrah is as good in the final overs as Shami is bad. Opponents need to target Shami and just work Bumrah around.

Bangladesh cannot now make the SFs. India have officially joined Oz in the SFs. If Oz beat SA, they will qualify in first place. If Oz lose and India beat SL, India will qualify in first place. Whether it's good to qualify in first place depends partly on what happens with the other two spots. Officially, the last two spots are down to NZ, England and Pakistan. NZ are highly likely to be there because they have a NRR buffer. Pakistan need things to go their way, but they'll know whether they can make it and precisely what is needed by the time their match is on, because NZ v. England is tomorrow.
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Post by K »

Bookmaker's latest odds for the last two SF spots:
NZ & England -- 77.7%
NZ & Pakistan -- 20.7%
England & Pakistan -- 1.5%

i.e. odds of making SFs:
NZ 98.4%
England 79.2%
Pakistan 22.2%
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Post by K »

England win toss (yet again), bat. :sad:

For NZ, Ferguson is out injured, replaced by the forgotten man, Southee. That is a huge blow. Morgan, whose defective technique against the short ball has been badly exposed, will be breathing easier.

Henry is also in for Sodhi. There's no room for two spinners on these flat tracks with tiny boundaries, but Henry has been bowling rubbish and will need to improve.

Given the above, I find it very hard to see how NZ can win here on what is expected to be a flat-track bully's delight. That, of course, is yet another reason why such pitches are bad: they make the influence of the toss too great.

-------------------------

Miller of cricinfo says: "The key factor (despite the obvious conspiracy theories!) has been the arrival of the sun, which has dried out the decks that England were struggling on in the early weeks."

Kane Williamson is quoted as saying after the Oz game: "I think cricket smarts throughout this tournament has been perhaps the most important thing. Even perhaps more than something like the word 'freedom', which everybody wants to be able to achieve day-in, day-out."

Yep. This "freedom" rubbish is just what they say to congratulate themselves for successful flat-track bullying and what loses them wickets on fair pitches. England don't have any "cricket smarts", so they have to go with their caveman slogging and trust that the pitch doctors have provided them with their natural caveman's environment. NZ don't have the sloggers, so they have to try to find other ways to win, centred around having the best batsman in the world.
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Post by K »

NZ go with the now-standard trick of starting with spin against England.

It almost works first ball, but then Latham allows 4 byes. The keeping in this WC has been rubbish. I wonder what great keepers of the past are thinking watching this trashing of the art.

The game has just started and already England are huge favourites.
Odds: England 72%, NZ 28%.
Line 327.5.
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Post by Pies4shaw »

^ Why would New Zealand want to have a game plan centred around having Steve Smith?
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Post by K »

The rusty Southee (is he even fit?) leaks 23 runs in 2 overs. Ferguson's injury looms ever larger over the game. :sad:

England 0/67 (10).

Boult warned for running on the pitch. They needed to warn him for his own batsmen's sake: they are the ones who'll have to bat second on this.

Odds: England 81%, NZ 19%.
Line: 346.5.
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Post by Donny »

1/133 after 20 overs. Roy 60.

Bairstow 62*.
Donny.

It's a game. Enjoy it. :D
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Post by Donny »

1/186 after 29 overs.

Bairstow 92*, Root 24*.
Donny.

It's a game. Enjoy it. :D
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