Bairstow out for a 99 ball 106.
3/211 afrer 33 overs.
ODI World Cup.
Boult gets Buttler!
England 4/214 (34.2).
cricinfo forecasts 345. Halfway through the previous over, the forecast was 366. After 25 overs, the forecast was 350. After 20 overs, it was 354. That was not long after Roy was out to Neesham, to make the score 1/123 (18.4). (Roy went 4, 4, out, which is like the trend of batsmen in this WC going 6 and out.)
A good four or five overs for NZ, starting with Boult dismissing Root, to make it 2/194 (30.1), followed by Henry dismissing Bairstow, to make it 3/206 (31.4).
So that's 3 wickets in 26 balls at the cost of only 20 runs.
Of course, NZ have to hope that does not mean the pitch is now starting to crumble. The groundsman claimed it'd be great for batting the whole match.
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England 4/241 (40).
Odds: England 78%, NZ 22%.
Line: 330.5.
In the 41st over, cricinfo forecasts 321.
And Stokes is playing like Dhoni: 10* (25).
England 4/214 (34.2).
cricinfo forecasts 345. Halfway through the previous over, the forecast was 366. After 25 overs, the forecast was 350. After 20 overs, it was 354. That was not long after Roy was out to Neesham, to make the score 1/123 (18.4). (Roy went 4, 4, out, which is like the trend of batsmen in this WC going 6 and out.)
A good four or five overs for NZ, starting with Boult dismissing Root, to make it 2/194 (30.1), followed by Henry dismissing Bairstow, to make it 3/206 (31.4).
So that's 3 wickets in 26 balls at the cost of only 20 runs.
Of course, NZ have to hope that does not mean the pitch is now starting to crumble. The groundsman claimed it'd be great for batting the whole match.
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England 4/241 (40).
Odds: England 78%, NZ 22%.
Line: 330.5.
In the 41st over, cricinfo forecasts 321.
And Stokes is playing like Dhoni: 10* (25).
Now Stokes holes out off the last ball of the 42nd over!
England 5/248 (42). Woakes in.
Is the pitch getting worse? Or are England hopeless once the ball gets softer? NZ & Pakistan will hope it's the latter!
Except for CdG's one over for 11, the main target has been Southee, who's got 0/64 (8 ). Will Southee get another over? And, repeat, Southee is playing only because fire-breathing Ferguson has a hamstring strain.
Commentators think it's the pitch. Can it change again? The British commentator thinks it might, because of the roller. If it really has "slowed to a stop" and it doesn't change back, it is simply an unfair pitch.
England 5/248 (42). Woakes in.
Is the pitch getting worse? Or are England hopeless once the ball gets softer? NZ & Pakistan will hope it's the latter!
Except for CdG's one over for 11, the main target has been Southee, who's got 0/64 (8 ). Will Southee get another over? And, repeat, Southee is playing only because fire-breathing Ferguson has a hamstring strain.
Commentators think it's the pitch. Can it change again? The British commentator thinks it might, because of the roller. If it really has "slowed to a stop" and it doesn't change back, it is simply an unfair pitch.
It may be that the groundsman tried to make the pitch as flat as possible and just overcooked it, so it can't even last 40 overs. Then NZ will be doomed. (Remember that last Ashes Test, where it was turning square on day 1?)
British commentator: "It can't be every batsman..."
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And now Boult comes back and goes for runs. Bowling too fast...
British commentator: "It can't be every batsman..."
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And now Boult comes back and goes for runs. Bowling too fast...
But Henry gets Morgan!
England 7/272 (46.1).
Henry has 2 wickets.
That's a relief. If this pitch has died, the total may already be too much.
Odds: England 70%, NZ 30%.
England 7/272 (46.1).
Henry has 2 wickets.
That's a relief. If this pitch has died, the total may already be too much.
Odds: England 70%, NZ 30%.
Last edited by K on Wed Jul 03, 2019 11:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.
With one over left, England are 7/299 (49).
NZ are forced to return to the very expensive Southee, because everyone else is bowled out.
First ball: Single.
Second ball: Single.
Third ball: Bowls Rashid!
8/301 (49.3).
Meanwhile, the British commentator whinges that he's starving.
Fourth ball: Single.
Fifth ball: Two.
Sixth ball: Single.
England finish on 8/305 (50).
Odds at change of innings: England 73%, NZ 27%.
NZ are forced to return to the very expensive Southee, because everyone else is bowled out.
First ball: Single.
Second ball: Single.
Third ball: Bowls Rashid!
8/301 (49.3).
Meanwhile, the British commentator whinges that he's starving.
Fourth ball: Single.
Fifth ball: Two.
Sixth ball: Single.
England finish on 8/305 (50).
Odds at change of innings: England 73%, NZ 27%.
You'd think that the decision not to review the LBW decision was made partly because it was so early in the innings and partly because they are not confident enough in the value of Nicholls's wicket. If it'd been Williamson in the 25th over, surely they'd have reviewed.
Guptill is the one batsmen who can score rapidly. NZ desperately need him to have a big one.
......................
But it's not to be.
Guptill is gone, caught behind off Archer.
NZ 2/14 (5.2).
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In the 8th over, cricinfo forecasts NZ 29%.
Odds: England 86%, NZ 14%.
At this stage, Pakistan fans might want to start hoping for the second-best case: that NZ are bowled out for 100, and Pakistan have a massive win over Bangladesh, bridging the NRR gap between them and NZ. Before this game, NZ had a NRR of 0.572. Pakistan's is -0.792.
Guptill is the one batsmen who can score rapidly. NZ desperately need him to have a big one.
......................
But it's not to be.
Guptill is gone, caught behind off Archer.
NZ 2/14 (5.2).
..........................................................
In the 8th over, cricinfo forecasts NZ 29%.
Odds: England 86%, NZ 14%.
At this stage, Pakistan fans might want to start hoping for the second-best case: that NZ are bowled out for 100, and Pakistan have a massive win over Bangladesh, bridging the NRR gap between them and NZ. Before this game, NZ had a NRR of 0.572. Pakistan's is -0.792.
NZ 2/37 (10).
cricinfo tells us: NZ's openers have made 299 runs in this WC at an ave. of 21.35. That's worst of all teams, including Afghanistan (351 at 21.93). Oz is at the other end: 1020 runs at 68.00, ahead of England (943 at 55.47) and India (881 at 67.76). (England's openers have played two more innings, India's two fewer.)
Commentators lavished praise on Buttler's catch down legside, but there have been plenty of that type of catch by pathetic keepers in this WC. They seem to struggle less diving athletically for big deflections that give them more time to react than for fine edges that come very quickly or stumpings, even with the batsman stranded three feet down the pitch.
cricinfo tells us: NZ's openers have made 299 runs in this WC at an ave. of 21.35. That's worst of all teams, including Afghanistan (351 at 21.93). Oz is at the other end: 1020 runs at 68.00, ahead of England (943 at 55.47) and India (881 at 67.76). (England's openers have played two more innings, India's two fewer.)
Commentators lavished praise on Buttler's catch down legside, but there have been plenty of that type of catch by pathetic keepers in this WC. They seem to struggle less diving athletically for big deflections that give them more time to react than for fine edges that come very quickly or stumpings, even with the batsman stranded three feet down the pitch.
Williamson run out in the standard "unlucky" way.
I'll never understand why every single non-striker always stands or walks out of his crease like that. They are almost never trying to steal quick singles. They just stand there and then think it's "unlucky" when they get run out.
NZ 3/61 (15.1).
I don't think there's much hope for NZ now. Key wickets lost and RRR 7.
The amount of good fortune England have had in this game is staggering, though NZ did not help themselves by not reviewing the LBW decision.
Odds: England 90%, NZ 10%.
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And now another run out. Taylor was out by miles.
This is suicidal from NZ. Two run outs and a wrong LBW decision they chose not to review.
NZ 4/69 (16.4).
NZ's staff should be calculating exactly what effect a big loss here will have on NRR. The belief is it's too high for Pakistan to catch, but it's worth checking.
Update: cricinfo gives us some ballpark figures, and it's close to impossible, you'd think (even in a fantasy WC where Pakistan play Afghanistan again, not Bangladesh).
Odds: England 94%, NZ 6%.
I'll never understand why every single non-striker always stands or walks out of his crease like that. They are almost never trying to steal quick singles. They just stand there and then think it's "unlucky" when they get run out.
NZ 3/61 (15.1).
I don't think there's much hope for NZ now. Key wickets lost and RRR 7.
The amount of good fortune England have had in this game is staggering, though NZ did not help themselves by not reviewing the LBW decision.
Odds: England 90%, NZ 10%.
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And now another run out. Taylor was out by miles.
This is suicidal from NZ. Two run outs and a wrong LBW decision they chose not to review.
NZ 4/69 (16.4).
NZ's staff should be calculating exactly what effect a big loss here will have on NRR. The belief is it's too high for Pakistan to catch, but it's worth checking.
Update: cricinfo gives us some ballpark figures, and it's close to impossible, you'd think (even in a fantasy WC where Pakistan play Afghanistan again, not Bangladesh).
Odds: England 94%, NZ 6%.