50-run partnership, but then Neesham plays on. (Not the first one in this game.)
NZ 5/123 (25.1). CdG in.
They risk being bowled out here. I hope CdG doesn't do anything crazy here like holing out. They have half their innings left.
ODI World Cup.
Stokes comes on. On cue, first ball, CdG holes out.K wrote:...
They risk being bowled out here. I hope CdG doesn't do anything crazy here like holing out. They have half their innings left.
I'm lost for words.
NZ 6/128 (28.2).
You'd think that after CdG holed out first ball to S. Smith, he'd have realized opposition teams think he's just going to hole out to rubbish balls... Against S. Africa, he played a crucial knock. NZ would not have won without it. It's now looking like it was a complete fluke.
This is insanity. They should knuckle down and at least bat out the overs.
Odds: England 98%, NZ 2%.
Latham out. 57 (65). Good effort from Latham, who's been horribly out of form with the bat in this WC.
NZ 7/164 (38.3).
-------------------
5 balls later, Santner out. Santner reviewed the LBW. Yeah, why not? Still out.
NZ 8/166 (39.2).
Bets on the result are off, but the line is 200.5.
NZ should aim for that.
--------------------------
The SF spots are practically sealed now, though not the order of the top two. Oz will have motivation to beat S. Africa and grab top spot now. England will qualify in third place and NZ fourth. (Pakistan now will need to win by 300+ runs, which won't happen.)
NZ 7/164 (38.3).
-------------------
5 balls later, Santner out. Santner reviewed the LBW. Yeah, why not? Still out.
NZ 8/166 (39.2).
Bets on the result are off, but the line is 200.5.
NZ should aim for that.
--------------------------
The SF spots are practically sealed now, though not the order of the top two. Oz will have motivation to beat S. Africa and grab top spot now. England will qualify in third place and NZ fourth. (Pakistan now will need to win by 300+ runs, which won't happen.)
Last edited by K on Thu Jul 04, 2019 3:28 am, edited 2 times in total.
Wood bowls Henry.
NZ 9/181 (43.4).
.........................
And next over Boult is stumped.
NZ all out 186 (45). England win by 119 runs.
cricinfo tells us Pakistan need to beat Bangladesh by 316 runs to take NZ's SF place. Won't happen. (NZ's NRR dropped from 0.572 to 0.175. Pakistan's is -0.792.)
NZ are lucky to be in the SFs, but no team can claim to be unlucky to miss out.
If Williamson is suspended for the SF (for cricket's sake, you'd hope not) and Ferguson cannot recover in time, NZ will be sitting ducks.
NZ 9/181 (43.4).
.........................
And next over Boult is stumped.
NZ all out 186 (45). England win by 119 runs.
cricinfo tells us Pakistan need to beat Bangladesh by 316 runs to take NZ's SF place. Won't happen. (NZ's NRR dropped from 0.572 to 0.175. Pakistan's is -0.792.)
NZ are lucky to be in the SFs, but no team can claim to be unlucky to miss out.
If Williamson is suspended for the SF (for cricket's sake, you'd hope not) and Ferguson cannot recover in time, NZ will be sitting ducks.
Pre-game odds:
Afghanistan 24%, West Indies 76%
Pakistan 64%, Bangladesh 36%
Sri Lanka 17% India 83%
Australia 66%, S.Africa 34%
So the odds of Oz qualifying on top and playing NZ in the SF are about 72%.
------------------------------------------
Amazingly, the bookie is taking bets on whether NZ or Pakistan will make the SFs.
Odds: NZ 96%, Pakistan 4%.
You'd have to be crazy to bet on Pakistan. The bookie gives Pakistan odds of only 64% to beat Bangladesh by any margin, but wants you to believe they are a 4% chance of winning by 316+ runs. If it's a bat-first sloggers' pitch, there's a 50% chance that Bangladesh will win the toss and elect to bat first, when Pakistan will never be able to make up the NRR difference.
------------------------------------------
And England are favourites again to win the WC. The odds are now:
England 31%
Australia 30%
India 28%
NZ 10%
Pakistan 1%
Afghanistan 24%, West Indies 76%
Pakistan 64%, Bangladesh 36%
Sri Lanka 17% India 83%
Australia 66%, S.Africa 34%
So the odds of Oz qualifying on top and playing NZ in the SF are about 72%.
------------------------------------------
Amazingly, the bookie is taking bets on whether NZ or Pakistan will make the SFs.
Odds: NZ 96%, Pakistan 4%.
You'd have to be crazy to bet on Pakistan. The bookie gives Pakistan odds of only 64% to beat Bangladesh by any margin, but wants you to believe they are a 4% chance of winning by 316+ runs.
If it's a bat-first sloggers' pitch, there's a 50% chance that Bangladesh will win the toss and elect to bat first, when Pakistan will never be able to make up the NRR difference.------------------------------------------
And England are favourites again to win the WC. The odds are now:
England 31%
Australia 30%
India 28%
NZ 10%
Pakistan 1%
WI won toss, elected to bat.
Gayle out for probably the last time in an ODI WC with a whimper, at 1/21 (5.3).
Hope dropped by Rashid Khan, who is having an immensely disappointing WC.
"That was a gift," screeches Slater.
"My goodness," says Bishop, who thinks midwicket was just put in for that.
WI now 1/43 (10).
Gayle out for probably the last time in an ODI WC with a whimper, at 1/21 (5.3).
Hope dropped by Rashid Khan, who is having an immensely disappointing WC.
"That was a gift," screeches Slater.
"My goodness," says Bishop, who thinks midwicket was just put in for that.
WI now 1/43 (10).
On Gayle:
Even if Gayle had flourished with the bat in this WC, there'd have been questions about his effect on this team. Think about all the running gags about him moving as little as possible in the field or taking runs. That can't be good for the team. As it is, he barely ever fired with the bat. On the rare occasion he started to, he threw his wicket away, for example in the game against NZ. Given Brathwaite's heroics later in that game, you'd have to think that if Gayle had just knuckled down, he and Brathwaite could easily have won the game.
It's also hard not to think of the backdrop of his alleged chauvinism and off-field misconduct, and the related defamation case he won against Fairfax.
Even if Gayle had flourished with the bat in this WC, there'd have been questions about his effect on this team. Think about all the running gags about him moving as little as possible in the field or taking runs. That can't be good for the team. As it is, he barely ever fired with the bat. On the rare occasion he started to, he threw his wicket away, for example in the game against NZ. Given Brathwaite's heroics later in that game, you'd have to think that if Gayle had just knuckled down, he and Brathwaite could easily have won the game.
It's also hard not to think of the backdrop of his alleged chauvinism and off-field misconduct, and the related defamation case he won against Fairfax.
Lewis out to a rubbish ball by Rashid Khan.
The last ball of the previous over, Lewis survived a huge LBW shout. Afghanistan reviewed, but it was umpire's call.
WI 2/109 (24.5).
WI's CRR is not high.
At 1/65 (14), cricinfo forecasted 273. At 1/73 (15), cricinfo forecasted 282. At 1/82 (19), cricinfo forecasted 274.
British commentator: "It's about time they got going."
The British commentators tend to overestimate how many runs are needed, though.
The new batsman, Hetmyer, is doing that. 17* (9).
Odds: Afghanistan 24%, WI 76%.
Line: 284.5.
The last ball of the previous over, Lewis survived a huge LBW shout. Afghanistan reviewed, but it was umpire's call.
WI 2/109 (24.5).
WI's CRR is not high.
At 1/65 (14), cricinfo forecasted 273. At 1/73 (15), cricinfo forecasted 282. At 1/82 (19), cricinfo forecasted 274.
British commentator: "It's about time they got going."
The British commentators tend to overestimate how many runs are needed, though.
The new batsman, Hetmyer, is doing that. 17* (9).
Odds: Afghanistan 24%, WI 76%.
Line: 284.5.
Last edited by K on Thu Jul 04, 2019 9:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Hetmyer out to a sharp catch.
WI 3/174 (34.5). Pooran in.
A big wicket for Afghanistan, because WI were accelerating.
At 2/152 (31), cricinfo's forecast was 286. With Hetmyer's wicket, the forecast has dropped from 288 to 281.
The broadcast predictor before the wicket said 291.
Odds: Afghanistan 21%, WI 79%.
Line: 283.5.
WI 3/174 (34.5). Pooran in.
A big wicket for Afghanistan, because WI were accelerating.
At 2/152 (31), cricinfo's forecast was 286. With Hetmyer's wicket, the forecast has dropped from 288 to 281.
The broadcast predictor before the wicket said 291.
Odds: Afghanistan 21%, WI 79%.
Line: 283.5.
11 runs from the 44th over, 16 from the 45th (including a 98m 6 from Holder).
WI 4/246 (45).
Odds: Afghanistan 16%, WI 84%.
Line: 295.5.
................................................
Only 6 runs from the 46th over, but 15 from the 47th (including another 6 from Holder).
Pooran is hitting purely 4s (six of them now, without a 6). Holder is hitting purely 6s (three of them now, without a 4).
And Pooran reaches 50 from 40 balls.
10 runs from the 48th over (including Holder's first 4, which spoils the pattern).
................................................
The pattern resumes, as Holder hits the first ball of over 49 for his fourth 6.
Three balls later, Pooran makes the pattern-breaking symmetrical by hitting his first 6.
Next ball, 5 wides. The keeping in this WC has been atrocious!
20 runs from the over, with one to come.
WI 4/297 (49).
WI 4/246 (45).
Odds: Afghanistan 16%, WI 84%.
Line: 295.5.
................................................
Only 6 runs from the 46th over, but 15 from the 47th (including another 6 from Holder).
Pooran is hitting purely 4s (six of them now, without a 6). Holder is hitting purely 6s (three of them now, without a 4).
And Pooran reaches 50 from 40 balls.
10 runs from the 48th over (including Holder's first 4, which spoils the pattern).
................................................
The pattern resumes, as Holder hits the first ball of over 49 for his fourth 6.
Three balls later, Pooran makes the pattern-breaking symmetrical by hitting his first 6.
Next ball, 5 wides. The keeping in this WC has been atrocious!
20 runs from the over, with one to come.
WI 4/297 (49).
First ball: Swing and miss. And a run out, as Pooran tries to sneak a bye with no response from Holder.
WI 5/297 (49.1).
Second ball: Holder out. Two wickets in two balls.
WI 6/297 (49.2).
Third ball: Dot. Good over so far, but too late.
Fourth ball: Brathwaite smashes it for 6. 81m.
Fifth ball. Edge for 4. No longer a good over for Afghanistan.
Sixth ball: Dropped catch goes for 4. The fielder lost sight of the ball. The British commentator laughs contemptuously.
14 runs and 2 wickets from the final over.
WI finish on 6/311 (50). WI scored 111 runs from the last 10 overs.
This is the deadest of dead rubbers, and it's felt like neither side cares.
Odds at change of innings: Afghanistan 11%, WI 89%.
WI 5/297 (49.1).
Second ball: Holder out. Two wickets in two balls.
WI 6/297 (49.2).
Third ball: Dot. Good over so far, but too late.
Fourth ball: Brathwaite smashes it for 6. 81m.
Fifth ball. Edge for 4. No longer a good over for Afghanistan.
Sixth ball: Dropped catch goes for 4. The fielder lost sight of the ball. The British commentator laughs contemptuously.
14 runs and 2 wickets from the final over.
WI finish on 6/311 (50). WI scored 111 runs from the last 10 overs.
This is the deadest of dead rubbers, and it's felt like neither side cares.
Odds at change of innings: Afghanistan 11%, WI 89%.